Dr. Arun Bapat
Dr. Arun Bapat Ph.D. was working as Head, Earthquake Engineering Research Division at the Central Water & Power Research Station (CWPRS) Pune till his superannuation in March 1998. Currently he is associated with a number of States in advisory and consultancy capacities such as North Eastern Council, Shillong, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Maharashtra, Himachal Pradesh, Delhi, Bihar, Tripura, Delhi, Andaman, Mizoram, etc. In addition, he is also associated with neighboring countries such as Nepal, Indonesia, Australia, China, Pakistan, Turkey, Seychelles, and Mozambique etc for earthquake and Tsunami related problems. During 2005 – 2006 he was Seismic Consultant to Gujarat Government. At present he is associated with a project for developing a computer tsunami model for Indian Coast.
Original Research Achievements
This is the only book, which lists about ten thousand earthquakes in all SAARC countries. This book lists earthquakes in Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Nepal, Bhutan, Bangla Desh, Sri Lanka and parts of Iran, Tajikistan, China, Myanmar, and Vietnam etc. The citation Index for this book is very high.
(2) Tsunami Studies: He is the only and first Indian Scientist who has written a research paper on Indian Tsunami. (See Reference: T S Murty and Bapat Arun (1999). Arun Bapat was the first to focus attention at Tsunami on Indian coast five years before the occurrence of Tsunami on Indian Coast in December 2004.
Significant Consultancy in recent years:
Significant Achievements and Public Interactions
4.0 He is life member of Indian Society of Earthquake Technology, Roorkee and Indian Society of Hydraulics, Pune.
5.0 He has established several seismological observatories in various states in India and also in Zambia, Nepal, and Bhutan.
6.0 He has surveyed a number of earthquakes such as Koyna Earthquake (1967), Bihar Earthquake (1988), Uttarkashi earthquake (1991), Latur Earthquake (1993), Bhuj Earthquake (2001), Sumatran Earthquake (Surveyed in Andaman), and Kashmir Earthquake (2005). He has conducted a Tsunami Inundation Survey at Kanyakumari along with world famous Tsunamilogist Dr. Tad Murty from Canada.
7.0 Presently, he is organizing a three to four day training classes for graduate, post-graduate and doctoral level. He has conducted such a course at Jamia Milia Islamia (JMI) University at New Delhi and National Institute of Technology NIT, Srinagar (J&K), NIT Mangalore etc. In coming moths he would be having similar activities at Sikkim, Thituchirapally, Aizwal (Mizoram), and Chandigarh etc.
9.0 He has traveled to several countries in the continents of Africa, America, Asia, Australia and Europe. He has been a visiting professor at Adelaide University in Australia and at The Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Sofia and as Researcher at the University of Southern California, USA.
Successful use of Wireless Technology to Predict Earthquake.
The subject of Seismo-Electromagnetic Effect has been developed to as a tool to observe reliable seismic precursors.
The Seismo-electromagnetic effect is manifested on various electronic communication equipments few hours before earthquake, such as Radio, Wireless Communication sets, landline telephones, Radio, Television and mobile telephones. This precursor is manifested at different times in different equipments. The landline telephone talk is disturbed and there is lot of background noise (khar-khar). This is seen few days before the earthquake. The reception of radio signals is adversely affected. If a programme is broadcast on 1000 kHz then the same would be received in the potential Epicentral area at higher frequencies such as 1100, 1200, … 1400 kHz etc. It needs to be noted that the transmitted frequency does not change. It is the reception of frequency which shows the rise. A Transmitter sends waves in all directions. A receiver receives the transmitted signal through an antenna and the equation for reception of the transmitted signal is given by:
This is explained mathematically by following equation.
f = 1/ 2pÖ(LC) …………………………….. (1)
Where f is frequency received by the receiver
L is inductance
C is capacitor … (it may vary for different types of receivers)
2 and p are constants
Before the occurrence of a medium to large magnitude earthquake, the sub surface temperature at the hypocenter increases considerably. Rise in temperature reduces the magnetism. When magnetic field strength is reduced the value of L (inductance) also decreases. The above equation is valid for coil-magnet type receivers and also for ferrite type receivers. It is only at the reception end that the frequency is apparently enhanced. The term L is in denominator and in square root sign. As even a little change in the value of L (the geomagnetic field) would change the received frequency. Above Equation (1) explains the phenomenon of Seismo-Electro-Magnetic Effect. Enhanced frequency reception was seen for the first time prior to the Tashkent Earthquake of 1966. Subsequently it has been observed at several locations. It is also known that atmospheric cloud lightning; hailstorm may also change the reception of frequency. But this is transient and has very short duration.
Experiment to check Seismo-Electromagnetic Effect and Earthquake
An experiment to check these observations was conducted at Koyna. For this purpose, Wireless Communication System was used. A signal was sent three times a day from Pune to Koyna a distance of about 120 km and the received frequency at Koyna was recorded. Daily three signals were sent and the experiment was conducted for two years. As such available readings are 365 x 2 x 3 = 2190. During this period there were 21 records of small magnitude earthquake (M 4.0 to 5.0). About ten to twelve hours before the occurrence of earthquake a shift of frequency was invariably recorded. The frequency of transmission was 4750 kHz and the shifts were in the range 35 to 95 kHz depending up on the magnitude of earthquake.
An interesting observation was found for the first time India after 26 January 2001 Bhuj earthquake. This 7.8 magnitude earthquake occurred at 0846 (Local Time). During the period 0600 hours to 0630 hours, most of the mobile telephones were non-functioning. It was also checked and confirmed that there were no electrical, electronic or mechanical failures in telephone exchanges. Persons from Pakistan have reported similar observations before the 08 October 2005 Muzaffarabad earthquake in Pakistan also confirmed similar observation. On 13 April 2016 an earthquake of M = 7.4 occurred in the border region of India- Myanmar at 23.133º N and 94.900º E at 19h 25m 17s IST. Within few minutes of earthquake, I received telephones from Aizwal (capital of Mizoram), Dimapur (Nagaland) and Dibrugarh and Jorhat in Assam informing that before the earthquake the mobile telephones were not working.