Publication Type:

Journal Article


Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, Springer Verlag, Volume 574, p.254-263 (2017)





Advanced metering infrastructures, Artificial intelligence, Automated metering infrastructure (AMI), Electric power transmission networks, Electric power utilization, Electricity consumption forecasting, Electricity-consumption, Empirical evaluations, Extreme learning machine, Forecasting, Forestry, Hodrick-Prescott (HP), Intelligent systems, Knowledge acquisition, Learning systems, Machine learning approaches, Neural networks, Regression analysis, Regression trees, Smart power grids


In a Smart grid, implementation of value-added services such as distribution automation (DA) and Demand Response (DR) [1] rely heavily on the availability of accurate electricity consumption forecasts. Machine learning based forecasting systems, due to their ability to handle nonlinear patterns, appear promising for the purpose. An empirical evaluation of eight machine learning based systems for electricity consumption forecasting, based on Extreme Learning machines (ELM), Ensemble Regression Trees (ERT), Artificial Neural Network (ANNs) and regression is presented in this study. Forecasting systems thus designed, are validated on consumption data collected from 5275 users. Result indicate that ELM based electricity consumption forecasting systems are not only more accurate than other systems considered, they are considerably faster as well. © Springer International Publishing AG 2017.


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Cite this Research Publication

J. A. Balaji, Dr. Harish Ram D. S., and Dr. Binoy B. Nair, “Machine learning approaches to electricity consumption forecasting in automated metering infrastructure (AMI) systems: An empirical study”, Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol. 574, pp. 254-263, 2017.