Back close

A Short-Term Solar Photovoltaic Power Optimized Prediction Interval Model Based on FOS-ELM Algorithm

Publication Type : Journal Article

Publisher : Wiley

Source : International Journal of Photoenergy

Url : https://doi.org/10.1155/2021/3981456

Campus : Chennai

School : School of Engineering

Year : 2021

Abstract : Solar energy conversion efficiency has improved by the advancement technology of photovoltaic (PV) and the involvement of administrations worldwide. However, environmental conditions influence PV power output, resulting in randomness and intermittency. These characteristics may be harmful to the power scheme. As a conclusion, precise and timely power forecast information is essential for the power networks to engage solar energy. To lessen the negative impact of PV electricity usage, the offered short-term solar photovoltaic (PV) power estimate design is based on an online sequential extreme learning machine with a forgetting mechanism (FOS-ELM) under this study. This approach can replace existing knowledge with new information on a continuous basis. The variance of model uncertainty is computed in the first stage by using a learning algorithm to provide predictable PV power estimations. Stage two entails creating a one-of-a-kind PI based on cost function to enhance the ELM limitations and quantify noise uncertainty in respect of variance. As per findings, this approach does have the benefits of short training duration and better reliability. This technique can assist the energy dispatching unit list producing strategies while also providing temporal and spatial compensation and integrated power regulation, which are crucial for the stability and security of energy systems and also their continuous optimization.

Cite this Research Publication : G. Ramkumar, Satyajeet Sahoo, T. M. Amirthalakshmi, S. Ramesh, R. Thandaiah Prabu, Kasipandian Kasirajan, Antony V. Samrot, A. Ranjith, A Short-Term Solar Photovoltaic Power Optimized Prediction Interval Model Based on FOS-ELM Algorithm, International Journal of Photoenergy, Wiley, 2021, https://doi.org/10.1155/2021/3981456

Admissions Apply Now